{
  "report_id": "060-occupancy-continuity",
  "status": "validated",
  "version": "1.0",
  "publication": {
    "headline": "Los centros con ocupación alta recuperan 11 puntos más de su base activa",
    "canonical_url": "https://wodbuster.com/observatorio/ocupacion-continuidad-centros-deportivos/",
    "date_modified": "2026-07-18"
  },
  "period": {"start": "2025-01-01", "end": "2025-12-31"},
  "sample": {"matched_centers": 1782},
  "definitions": {
    "occupancy": "Asistencias efectivas divididas por plazas ordinarias configuradas durante 2025.",
    "observed_continuity": "Parte de los participantes activos de Q1 observada también con asistencia efectiva en Q4.",
    "adjustment": "Cuartiles de ocupación calculados dentro de cada combinación de tamaño activo y cuartil de frecuencia mensual."
  },
  "findings": {
    "low_occupancy_pct": 28.94,
    "high_occupancy_pct": 71.11,
    "low_occupancy_q1_seen_again_q4_pct": 55.19,
    "high_occupancy_q1_seen_again_q4_pct": 66.30,
    "continuity_difference_pp": 11.11,
    "low_occupancy_q4_not_active_q1_pct": 47.31,
    "high_occupancy_q4_not_active_q1_pct": 36.70,
    "q4_replacement_difference_pp": -10.61,
    "low_occupancy_median_visits": 8.42,
    "high_occupancy_median_visits": 8.37
  },
  "series": {
    "size_frequency_adjusted_quartiles": [
      {"group":"Ocupación baja","centers":450,"occupancy_pct":28.94,"visits_per_active":8.42,"typical_active":146.00,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":55.19,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":47.31,"q4_vs_q1_change_pct":4.47},
      {"group":"Media-baja","centers":444,"occupancy_pct":44.09,"visits_per_active":8.43,"typical_active":146.50,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":58.99,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":43.45,"q4_vs_q1_change_pct":3.78},
      {"group":"Media-alta","centers":444,"occupancy_pct":56.54,"visits_per_active":8.32,"typical_active":146.50,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":62.20,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":41.35,"q4_vs_q1_change_pct":4.57},
      {"group":"Ocupación alta","centers":444,"occupancy_pct":71.11,"visits_per_active":8.37,"typical_active":147.00,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":66.30,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":36.70,"q4_vs_q1_change_pct":5.10}
    ],
    "size_only_adjusted_quartiles": [
      {"group":"Ocupación baja","centers":446,"occupancy_pct":28.87,"visits_per_active":8.64,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":56.22,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":47.16},
      {"group":"Media-baja","centers":446,"occupancy_pct":43.74,"visits_per_active":8.93,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":58.95,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":42.73},
      {"group":"Media-alta","centers":446,"occupancy_pct":56.59,"visits_per_active":8.44,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":62.14,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":41.38},
      {"group":"Ocupación alta","centers":444,"occupancy_pct":71.40,"visits_per_active":7.57,"q1_seen_again_q4_pct":66.35,"q4_not_active_q1_pct":37.82}
    ]
  },
  "quality": {
    "minimum_classes_for_occupancy": 100,
    "minimum_active_per_quarter": 50,
    "maximum_largest_center_q4_share_pct": 2.16
  },
  "privacy": {"personal_identifiers_joined": false, "center_identifiers_exported": false},
  "limitations": [
    "El cruce se realiza a nivel de centro y no sigue recorridos individuales.",
    "La asociación no demuestra que elevar la ocupación cause continuidad ni al contrario.",
    "La ocupación utiliza plazas ordinarias configuradas y no el aforo físico o legal.",
    "Actividad, horarios, capacidad, modelo de acceso y antigüedad pueden explicar parte de la diferencia.",
    "La muestra representa centros usuarios de WodBuster y no todo el mercado español."
  ]
}