{
  "report_id": "110-summer-continuity-regions",
  "status": "validated",
  "source_report": "105-monthly-consistency",
  "period": "2025-01-01/2025-08-31",
  "question": "Cuánto cambia por comunidad la continuidad de julio a agosto frente a febrero a marzo.",
  "definition": {
    "effect": "Diferencia, en puntos, entre la vuelta desde julio y la vuelta desde febrero.",
    "adjustment": "Mismo centro, frecuencia exacta y dos medidas de distribución temporal.",
    "territory": "Comunidad aproximada mediante el código postal de facturación del centro."
  },
  "sample": {
    "tenants_attempted": 2174,
    "tenants_succeeded": 2174,
    "tenants_failed": 0,
    "centers_with_activity": 2159,
    "participant_months": 3519632,
    "eligible_mapped_centers": 2128,
    "published_regions": 10,
    "published_centers": 1414
  },
  "rules": {
    "minimum_center_participant_months": 100,
    "minimum_observations_per_matched_month_cell": 3,
    "minimum_valid_cells_per_center": 3,
    "minimum_centers_per_region": 30,
    "maximum_largest_center_volume_share_pct": 8.0
  },
  "national": {
    "centers": 1565,
    "median_july_minus_february_pp": -15.34,
    "bootstrap_95_ci": [
      -16.29,
      -14.73
    ]
  },
  "regions": [
    {
      "community": "Comunidad de Madrid",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 159,
      "participant_months": 366568,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -23.62,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -25.89,
        -21.24
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 1.26,
      "median_valid_cells": 9,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 2.67
    },
    {
      "community": "Región de Murcia",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 66,
      "participant_months": 139476,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -20.03,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -26.84,
        -16.57
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 0.0,
      "median_valid_cells": 7.5,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.34
    },
    {
      "community": "Comunidad Valenciana",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 258,
      "participant_months": 519143,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -18.84,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -21.86,
        -17.09
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.33,
      "median_valid_cells": 8.0,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.37
    },
    {
      "community": "Andalucía",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 548,
      "participant_months": 1101478,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -14.87,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -16.44,
        -13.89
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 3.1,
      "median_valid_cells": 8.0,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.76
    },
    {
      "community": "Castilla y León",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 34,
      "participant_months": 82094,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -13.1,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -16.59,
        -9.83
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.94,
      "median_valid_cells": 9.0,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 7.93
    },
    {
      "community": "Castilla-La Mancha",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 69,
      "participant_months": 137732,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -12.82,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -18.13,
        -9.81
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 4.35,
      "median_valid_cells": 8,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.51
    },
    {
      "community": "Galicia",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 46,
      "participant_months": 88314,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -12.01,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -15.99,
        -8.7
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 6.52,
      "median_valid_cells": 8.0,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.91
    },
    {
      "community": "Islas Baleares",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 58,
      "participant_months": 91692,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -11.58,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -16.68,
        -8.39
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 5.17,
      "median_valid_cells": 7.0,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.05
    },
    {
      "community": "Canarias",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 92,
      "participant_months": 156716,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.14,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -10.76,
        -6.9
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 10.87,
      "median_valid_cells": 7.0,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.32
    },
    {
      "community": "Cataluña",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 84,
      "participant_months": 173633,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.02,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -12.02,
        -6.22
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 13.1,
      "median_valid_cells": 8.5,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.14
    }
  ],
  "region_sensitivity": {
    "Comunidad de Madrid": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Comunidad de Madrid",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 176,
        "participant_months": 380638,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -24.79,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -26.77,
          -21.46
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.27,
        "median_valid_cells": 12.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 2.57
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Comunidad de Madrid",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 159,
        "participant_months": 366568,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -23.62,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -25.89,
          -21.24
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 1.26,
        "median_valid_cells": 9,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 2.67
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Comunidad de Madrid",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 133,
        "participant_months": 336215,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -22.39,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -24.72,
          -20.79
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 1.5,
        "median_valid_cells": 6,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 2.91
      }
    },
    "Región de Murcia": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Región de Murcia",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 75,
        "participant_months": 146294,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -23.98,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -31.77,
          -17.78
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 0.0,
        "median_valid_cells": 11,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.13
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Región de Murcia",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 66,
        "participant_months": 139476,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -20.03,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -26.84,
          -16.57
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 0.0,
        "median_valid_cells": 7.5,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.34
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Región de Murcia",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 50,
        "participant_months": 121117,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -21.18,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -28.13,
          -14.41
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 0.0,
        "median_valid_cells": 6.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.99
      }
    },
    "Comunidad Valenciana": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Comunidad Valenciana",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 284,
        "participant_months": 536053,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -20.85,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -22.41,
          -18.37
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 1.41,
        "median_valid_cells": 10.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.33
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Comunidad Valenciana",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 258,
        "participant_months": 519143,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -18.84,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -21.86,
          -17.09
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.33,
        "median_valid_cells": 8.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.37
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Comunidad Valenciana",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 200,
        "participant_months": 461979,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -18.18,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -21.4,
          -16.66
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 3.5,
        "median_valid_cells": 6.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.54
      }
    },
    "Andalucía": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Andalucía",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 601,
        "participant_months": 1135661,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -16.26,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -17.62,
          -14.82
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 3.99,
        "median_valid_cells": 10,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.71
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Andalucía",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 548,
        "participant_months": 1101478,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -14.87,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -16.44,
          -13.89
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 3.1,
        "median_valid_cells": 8.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.76
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Andalucía",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 426,
        "participant_months": 978254,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -13.34,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -14.25,
          -12.13
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 4.69,
        "median_valid_cells": 6.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 1.99
      }
    },
    "Castilla y León": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Castilla y León",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 36,
        "participant_months": 83689,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -12.13,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -14.65,
          -9.89
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.78,
        "median_valid_cells": 13.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 7.78
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Castilla y León",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 34,
        "participant_months": 82094,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -13.1,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -16.59,
          -9.83
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.94,
        "median_valid_cells": 9.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 7.93
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Castilla y León",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 30,
        "participant_months": 77013,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -10.07,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -14.64,
          -7.01
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 3.33,
        "median_valid_cells": 6.5,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 8.45
      }
    },
    "Castilla-La Mancha": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Castilla-La Mancha",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 82,
        "participant_months": 146545,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -15.49,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -19.29,
          -11.25
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 2.44,
        "median_valid_cells": 9.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.24
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Castilla-La Mancha",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 69,
        "participant_months": 137732,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -12.82,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -18.13,
          -9.81
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 4.35,
        "median_valid_cells": 8,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.51
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Castilla-La Mancha",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 51,
        "participant_months": 119634,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -11.12,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -16.88,
          -8.77
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 1.96,
        "median_valid_cells": 6,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.19
      }
    },
    "Galicia": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Galicia",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 47,
        "participant_months": 89466,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -12.81,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -16.07,
          -8.08
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 4.26,
        "median_valid_cells": 11,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.85
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Galicia",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 46,
        "participant_months": 88314,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -12.01,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -15.99,
          -8.7
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 6.52,
        "median_valid_cells": 8.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.91
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Galicia",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 32,
        "participant_months": 75422,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -10.68,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -14.87,
          -7.18
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 3.12,
        "median_valid_cells": 7.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.75
      }
    },
    "Islas Baleares": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Islas Baleares",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 64,
        "participant_months": 95153,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -10.55,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -18.37,
          -9.11
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 6.25,
        "median_valid_cells": 10.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.87
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Islas Baleares",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 58,
        "participant_months": 91692,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -11.58,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -16.68,
          -8.39
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 5.17,
        "median_valid_cells": 7.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.05
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Islas Baleares",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 40,
        "participant_months": 75920,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.16,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -12.46,
          -6.87
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 7.5,
        "median_valid_cells": 5.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 6.1
      }
    },
    "Canarias": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Canarias",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 110,
        "participant_months": 167211,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.36,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -11.5,
          -7.69
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 10.91,
        "median_valid_cells": 9.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.98
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Canarias",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 92,
        "participant_months": 156716,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.14,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -10.76,
          -6.9
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 10.87,
        "median_valid_cells": 7.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.32
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Canarias",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 57,
        "participant_months": 123046,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -8.25,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -10.5,
          -6.49
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 10.53,
        "median_valid_cells": 6,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 6.77
      }
    },
    "Cataluña": {
      "2": {
        "community": "Cataluña",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 2,
        "centers": 94,
        "participant_months": 180796,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -10.47,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -13.59,
          -8.26
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 6.38,
        "median_valid_cells": 11.0,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 4.94
      },
      "3": {
        "community": "Cataluña",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
        "centers": 84,
        "participant_months": 173633,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.02,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -12.02,
          -6.22
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 13.1,
        "median_valid_cells": 8.5,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.14
      },
      "5": {
        "community": "Cataluña",
        "minimum_per_month_group": 5,
        "centers": 65,
        "participant_months": 153233,
        "median_july_minus_february_pp": -6.59,
        "bootstrap_95_ci": [
          -9.32,
          -5.03
        ],
        "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 12.31,
        "median_valid_cells": 6,
        "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.83
      }
    }
  },
  "stability": [
    {
      "community": "Canarias",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -9.36,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -8.25,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 1.11
    },
    {
      "community": "Galicia",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -12.81,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -10.68,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 2.13
    },
    {
      "community": "Comunidad de Madrid",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -24.79,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -22.39,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 2.4
    },
    {
      "community": "Islas Baleares",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -11.58,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -9.16,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 2.42
    },
    {
      "community": "Comunidad Valenciana",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -20.85,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -18.18,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 2.67
    },
    {
      "community": "Andalucía",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -16.26,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -13.34,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 2.92
    },
    {
      "community": "Castilla y León",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -13.1,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -10.07,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 3.03
    },
    {
      "community": "Cataluña",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -10.47,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -6.59,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 3.88
    },
    {
      "community": "Región de Murcia",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -23.98,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -20.03,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 3.95
    },
    {
      "community": "Castilla-La Mancha",
      "minimum_effect_pp": -15.49,
      "maximum_effect_pp": -11.12,
      "sensitivity_range_pp": 4.37
    }
  ],
  "excluded_regions": [
    "Ceuta",
    "País Vasco",
    "La Rioja",
    "Melilla",
    "Aragón",
    "Extremadura",
    "Asturias",
    "Cantabria",
    "Navarra"
  ],
  "primary": {
    "largest_drop": {
      "community": "Comunidad de Madrid",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 159,
      "participant_months": 366568,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -23.62,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -25.89,
        -21.24
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 1.26,
      "median_valid_cells": 9,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 2.67
    },
    "smallest_drop": {
      "community": "Cataluña",
      "minimum_per_month_group": 3,
      "centers": 84,
      "participant_months": 173633,
      "median_july_minus_february_pp": -9.02,
      "bootstrap_95_ci": [
        -12.02,
        -6.22
      ],
      "centers_with_july_higher_pct": 13.1,
      "median_valid_cells": 8.5,
      "largest_center_volume_share_pct": 5.14
    },
    "territorial_gap_pp": 14.6,
    "regions_negative_across_all_sensitivities": 10
  },
  "quality": {
    "each_center_weights_once": true,
    "all_published_regions_have_at_least_30_centers": true,
    "all_published_regions_below_concentration_limit": true,
    "all_published_intervals_below_zero": true,
    "maximum_sensitivity_range_pp": 4.37
  },
  "limitations": [
    "La comparación describe cohortes mensuales distintas y no demuestra causalidad.",
    "El ajuste no iguala edad, antigüedad, tarifa, actividad o situación personal.",
    "La comunidad de facturación puede no coincidir con la instalación."
  ],
  "version": "1.0",
  "publication": {
    "headline": "La caída de continuidad en verano va de 9 a 24 puntos según la comunidad",
    "canonical_url": "https://wodbuster.com/observatorio/continuidad-verano-comunidades/",
    "date_modified": "2026-07-18"
  }
}